Macro

Markets assign about an 82% probability to an October Fed hold and an 81% probability to a December increase, despite September payroll growth of only 29,000. Trump said…

Brent rose 4.64% to $104.85 a barrel, while WTI gained 4.84% to $92.55 following reports of attacks on Gulf shipping and Iran-related supply risk. Gulf crude exports…

The August trade deficit widened to $105.6 billion, versus the $93.7 billion consensus and a revised $92.8 billion prior. The Atlanta Fed’s Q3 growth estimate held at an…

The Nasdaq rose 1.1% to a record 27,477.31 Monday, while the 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.33% and the 30-year hit 5.684%. U.S. stock futures advanced Tuesday morning…

September payrolls rose by 29,000, far below the 89,000 to 90,000 expected, while unemployment increased to 4.2%. ISM Services is due at 10:00 a.m. ET. The consensus is…